Probability tool

Arrow odds calculator

Turn the published arrow rates into a real answer: what are your chances after multiple rolls?

i

The official sources publish rarity-tier rates, not the weight of each Stand inside a tier. This calculator never invents per-Stand odds.

Arrow type
Chance of at least one36.2%

4.4% per roll · Published rarity-tier rate.

Single roll4.4%
Mysterious Arrow cost90
The math

At least one success

1 − (1 − single roll chance)ⁿ

Lucky costs 3 Mysterious Arrows; Bizarre costs 9. Recipe cost alone does not reveal an unpublished individual Stand weight.